Saturday, May 30, 2020

Ignore the CPI: Inflation is a Huge Problem


Stock market drops. CPI lowest since 2008. 

Prices will begin rising higher and sooner than most expect. 

$2000 monthly UBI proposed for Americans as young as 16 years old Socialists love coronavirus even more than they love climate change. 

Norwegian Airlines sets an example the US should follow. Bitcoin halves.

Tuesday, May 26, 2020

Peter Schiff: Most of the Lost Jobs Aren't Coming Back


Market rallies on worst jobs report in history. Decimated gig economy isn’t even factored in. 

Majority of service industry jobs are not coming back. If nobody’s producing, nobody’s consuming. 

Market’s now factoring in negative interest rates. 

Second wave of layoffs coming. 

Businesses now at risk of regular shutdowns.

- Source, Peter Schiff

Friday, May 22, 2020

Peter Schiff: Fed Will Wipe Out Many Investors, Gold To Return as Reserve Currency


The Federal Reserve is going to create an inflationary environment that is like a tax that will hurt society on all levels, and this is what investors need to do to avoid wealth erosion, says Peter Schiff, CEO of Euro Pacific Capital. 

In this interview, Schiff comments on the risks of holding dollar-denominated assets and what investors should be buying instead.

- Source, Kitco News

Peter Schiff: The Economy is Far Weaker than Investors Believe


Fog lifting on the recovery narrative. 

Tech stocks strong on hope. Government ready to sacrifice other businesses to save Boeing. 

Fed feeding the same BS from 2008 about unwinding stimulus. 

Financial stocks are the canaries in the coal mine, and they’re dropping dead. 

National Debt passes 25 trillion dollars.

Tuesday, May 19, 2020

Peter Schiff: The Debt Bomb Has a Much Shorter Fuse Than Anyone Thinks


Financials take out new lows today before rallying the market positive. 

Tech stocks providing false sense of security for the markets. 

Powell throws cold water on negative interest rate expectations. Trump beats the drums demanding negative interest rates. 

Betting odds increase on Democrats taking the Senate. 

Congressman now proposing to pay people to go off unemployment. 

Restaurants will not recover from this. Entrepreneurs and business owners are the real heroes, not teachers. Swedish response was more responsible. 

Inflation is a consequence of government, never the private sector. Gold and gold stock charts looking great as markets start to roll over. Home builders are in trouble.

- Source, Peter Schiff

Tuesday, May 5, 2020

Peter Schiff: The Questions Nobody Is Asking


There seems to be growing optimism that we're nearing the end of the coronavirus lockdown. Stocks have rallied despite dismal economic numbers. But Peter Schiff says there are some important questions nobody is asking, especially when it comes to the insane Federal Reserve monetary policy.

The US stock market ended last week on an upswing and gold was down as optimism and risk-on sentiment returned. The optimism was due to a possible treatment for coronavirus along with some movement toward reopening the US economy. There seems to be some sentiment that the market has found its bottom.

Peter doesn't think so.

"I still am doubting this rally. I don't think the bear market is over. I don't think the bear market ends with stocks like Netflix and Amazon making new all-time record highs. I still think those stocks have to have some kind of comeuppance. I think they have to take those out and shoot them. So, I am looking for another sell-off in the broad markets."

Peter said there is one thing the market has going for it - the Federal Reserve. In fact, a lot of people seem to think that's all you need.

"As long as you've got the Fed on your side and they're going to keep on printing money, which they're going to do and they're going to print more and more of it, people are going to make a bet. And they're going to bet on the Fed by buying stocks. What they should be doing is buying gold."

Gold stocks have been strong in recent weeks, but some of the bigwigs on Wall Street are already talking like the gold rally is over. Peter said it's barely begun.

"For people to say, 'Hey, it's time to get out, the gold rally is over,' I mean, these are people who really have no clue what's going on in the gold market trying to convince people the gold rally is over when the fundamentals have never been better. I mean, it's not like the Fed is about to stop printing money. No! They're going to print more than ever before. In fact, because they have printed so much money so quickly, because the balance sheet has exploded, and because of all these new programs that are on the deck, not only the ones that have been enacted, but the programs that are on the deck, they're going to be printing money like crazy. So, you have the most bullish environment you can imagine for the mining sector yet they're saying we should sell these stocks."


The Federal Reserve balance sheet grew by another $284.7 billion. To put that into some perspective, during QE3, the balance sheet was growing by $80 per month. The balance sheet now stands at just under $6.4 trillion. That raises a question: how is the Fed ever going to shrink the balance sheet?

"Maybe people have decided they're never going to shrink it. But then what does that mean? Because, the Fed has to shrink the balance sheet at some point, which is going to be very, very disruptive to the economy, much more disruptive than when they tried to shrink the balance sheet before, which eventually blew up."

Remember, the Fed had to call off quantitative tightening long before coronavirus. The Fed cut interest rates three times last year.

"So, it's not like the Fed was able to keep shrinking the balance sheet and keep raising interest rates and it had to abort that process because of the coronavirus. They had to abort the process before anybody heard of the coronavirus. So, it was already imploding. The bubble was already deflating before this pin, this other pin came and put another hole in it. So, if we couldn't unwind the four-and-a-half trillion-dollar balance sheet, if we couldn't normalize the debt levels that existed before the coronavirus, think about how much more difficult, if not completely impossible that process is going to be after the coronavirus. So, nobody is asking: what is the implication of a balance sheet that is so enormous that it would be so disruptive to shrink, or because it's so enormous and can't be shrunk? What does that mean about future inflation and the value of the dollar?"

There is still this persistent myth that everything is going to be fine once we solve coronavirus. In the meantime, we're piling on trillions of dollars in new debt. That debt doesn't just go away after the coronavirus lockdown is over.

"We still have to deal with that problem long after the coronavirus problem is over. … It's not like all of a sudden we're going to go back to this booming economy. We're going to go back to a busted bubble."

As Peter has said before, all we can do is recover from a depression to a recession.

On top of all that, the government is going to end up killing more businesses than it saves with all of this "stimulus" and these loan programs.

- Source, Seeking Alpha

Saturday, May 2, 2020

Peter Schiff: Former Fed Chairs Still as Clueless as Ever


Markets overly optimistic that the worst is behind us. Trump keeps his friends close and his enemies closer - gets Kudlow to repudiate everything he spent an entire career advocating. Fed chairs past and present are clueless.

- Source, Schiff Podcast